Showing posts with label Market Bottom. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Market Bottom. Show all posts

Sunday, February 20, 2011

A Math Problem

Currently 30 year fixed mortgage interest rates are at about 5.000%. I’m pretty sure that we will see interest rates rise this year to the 6.000% range. So I did the math and this is what I found out what could be purchased at Marina Towers.

$1,000.00 per month will get you $186,281.62 in purchase money at 5.000%
$1,000.00 per month will get you $166,791.61 in purchase money at 6.000%

This equates to a net loss of $19,489.99 in purchase power. That’s 10.5%!

I don’t think we will see housing prices drop an additional 10.5% from now. It’s time to get in while the getting is good.

We cannot predict when condo prices at Marina City will hit bottom or if they already have, but most can agree that interest rates are steadily going up from here. Think about how rising interest rates limit your home buying power.

Sunday, December 5, 2010

The difference 1% makes

Although it may seem small when first mentioned, one percent can result in a big change. This came to mind recently when speaking with a buyer about mortgage rates. She was concerned that home prices had not bottomed out yet and wanted to make sure she waited until the right time.

The question of when is the bottom of market or when is the best time to purchase are hard to answer. The following example about mortgage rates really provides something to think about. Specifically, buyers do not ultimately live with their purchase price. The only time purchase price comes into question again is when the buyer sells their property.

I am not advocating that buyers be unconcerned with their purchase price. I am saying that mortgage rates play a much more important role in housing affordability and what qualifies as a great deal.

Take these three mortgage rate examples. All are based on a loan amount of $250,000 and a 30 year conventional mortgage.



$250,000 @ 5% = $1,342/month payment
$250,000 @ 6% = $1,498/month payment
$250,000 @ 7% = $1,663/month payment

Consider this payment over five or ten years and you really have some significant savings. If you add in the possibility of inflation in that time, you are really ahead. With the way the US government is printing money and taking on debt, the buyer is going to be paying back that mortgage with dollars that are only worth 80% what they are worth today several years from now.